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Emerging Technologies- The Future of Warfare, (Indian Perspective based on the Ukraine-Russia, Iran-Israel/USA and ‘OP-Sindoor’, India-Pakistan Conflicts)

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Conclusion:

War is inevitable unless ways are found for Nations to deal with each other for mutual benefits. Conflicts are becoming easy to start, but as there is no proper understanding of the objectives and the end-state, are not easy to conclude. Hence the need to understand the nature of war-fare today and the ways it trends into the future, how it can easily escalate and recognise that the costs involved also escalate rapidly. Proper understanding of other means to resolve problems/issues, such as the Manthan policy, (Trade, cultural exchanges, tourism etc) and settling the Borders effectively with neighbouring countries will be beneficial for All and be the best Diplomatic way.

Appendix-1: ‘Manthan’ Policy for dealing with Neighbouring Countries:

Learning from the ‘Samudra Manthan’ experience of our ancients (Asuras and Devas), we too should offer our neighbours an attitude of collaboration and cooperation and not that of competition or. conquest. A ‘Manthan’ attitude of together churning the ocean of opportunities and resources for mutual benefit, rather than that of a ‘Tug of War’ over existing resources, that leaves even the winner exhausted claiming only a costly and ‘Pyrrhic Victory.’ This was the ancient Indian/Asian way of dealing with others. Trade, Cultural Exchanges and Tourism and easy ‘Work Permits’, and even encouraging setting up business ventures in each other’s countries, with laws and regulations with respect to share-holding, local employment and Board representation etc; and also allowing for transit facilities with toll/transit fees as laid down with proper regulatory safeguards, would be the right way

Such a ‘Manthan’ policy has been presented by us to China over 12 years ago and its strengths are seeming to be recognized by them over the years since, hopefully we should soon be seeing some settlement of the Border and other contentious issues on these lines.

Clear and equitable Trade Policies under proper international Trade Laws and proper inter-se valuation of currencies with ‘Block-chain’ protective measures, individually or between multiple countries as mutually agreed to and backed by the threat of sanctions /ostracism of defaulters will deter attempts to gain unfair advantages.

Appendix-2: ‘Good’ borders make for ‘Good’ neighbours

‘Good Borders like Good Fences’, make for ‘Good’ neighbours. Difference between Borders and Frontiers. Frontiers are broad zones transitioning from one country to another. They are not demarcated on the ground, only generally recognized. While Good borders are not indiscriminately and quickly drawn lines by retreating colonial powers with their own interests in mind, but lines which are clearly delineated and demarcated, and agreed to by treaty, between the two countries. Borders should be delineated and demarcated with two major considerations.

1). Geographically and clearly determinable- rivers, valleys beyond the ridge lines, not the ridge lines themselves, or other clearly denoted geographic lines. Such Borders must be Militarily maintainable.

2). Culturally cohesive, thus acceptable to the populations living there. Our North and East and Myanmar and China and Bangladesh Borders delineated by the Radcliffe and McMahan lines all demonstrate the effects of badly determined borders. So also, the Durand lines between Pakistan and Afghanistan. The unrest in these areas leading to continual conflicts, clearly evidence the deficiencies of such inconsiderately drawn borders and the need to settle then effectively at the earliest.

The recent claims of Bangladesh on our territory from the ‘Chicken Neck’ area and all of the North-East, by the then interim Prime Minister Mr. Mohd Yunus, not only shows this, but clearly also shows the disdain for such Borders by those involved, thus opening the gates for our action in determining and declaring proper Borders to be determined as given above.

The claim of China for Arunachal Pradesh is also without any validity. If they really considered it as their territory, then why did they vacate it in 1962?

Appendix-3: Dealing with the threat of AI to Humanity.

AI is a double-edged sword, offering both immense benefits and also great potential harms Even well before AI gets to the point of superhuman technology and capability, it can be put to terrible uses from which it can wrongly learn what is acceptable for it to do in future. For AI data is the key. The danger is not that AI can be more intelligent than us humans, and make itself more powerful or even react in ways we would consider stupid or dangerous, to questions asked of it, or instructions given to it; the danger is that today, the algorithms that AI work on, are based on Marxist and Western philosophy, of a zero-sum game that evolves through competition and dominance, and hence, it will also likely do so, as it has no comprehensive guidelines to evaluate its own output or action against a properly defined and generally applicable philosophy in all situations.

Building in self-regulating algorithms would be the best solution. Simplistic rules, based on languages that do not have the required clarity and perfection would not be adequate for AI that is capable of building its own Rules or Laws or even Languages. Sanskrit is the only human language that can interface, without any confusion, with computer language, and hence should be ideal for such purpose.

We should expose and direct all algorithms of AI to be trained on the Vedic philosophy and its Dharmic Rules as expounded in the vast Vedic data set, so as build in it the recognition of co-operation and collaboration, of working together with humans for the equitable benefit of all Life on Earth, and not of competition and domination. Of the concepts of ‘Vasudhaiva Kutumbakam’ (the World is one Family) and ‘Ubuntu’ (I am because we are).

For more on these matters, please read the relevant articles on the website of the Institute for Democratic and Economic Affairz – www.ideaz4india.in

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